Is the Democratic Blue Wave Fading? Ohio and the Key Battlegrounds of the 2026 Midterms

A preview of the GTA Member Webinar on October 28, 2026.
Transcript edited for print.

Now, of all the states that I look at, there are actually two that stand out, but the number one state I look at happens to be Ohio, because Ohio is a battleground state. We covered that last time. And we know that how Ohio votes, in terms of which party it votes for and the percentage of people who vote for that particular party, pretty much plays out in the rest of the states.

So you don’t have to look at every state and say, “Okay, who’s going to win the election?” If we just look at Ohio and a number of other battleground states, we can get a pretty good idea. Now, we have bellwether states and we have battleground states. Ohio happens to be both a battleground state in every presidential election and a bellwether state.

So wherever the polls are showing Ohio, we know where the election is likely to end up. Ohio has voted for 30 of the 33 presidential winners going back to 1896. Now, it’s trending Republican. Trump won it by 11 points in 2024, which is why a Democratic Senate win would be a blue wave signal.

Ohio’s Senate Race and the Polling Gap

And these are the recent polls. If you look at the selected pollster average, Sherrod Brown, the Democratic challenger, is at plus 0.5. So you can see that Ohio is teetering. It’s going from red to blue. However, that being said, the polls underestimated Trump in 2016, 2020, and 2024.

CNN shows the average size of the error. So, in other words, if the Democratic candidate is ahead by three or 3.5 points in the polls, that Democratic candidate will lose. Why? Because by Election Day, Republicans will outperform the polls by an average of 3.7 points.

So if we see Ohio go red, then we’re looking at a 52-to-48 Republican Senate, if Michigan flips.

Saturn-Neptune and Ohio’s Republican Baseline

Now, the big issue right now is that you have Saturn-Neptune opposing Jupiter-Uranus in Ohio’s natal chart. So this is breaking the prevailing expectation. The transit alone doesn’t say which party will benefit, but what it’s indicating is that the status quo is being upset, and it’s upsetting Ohio’s Republican baseline.

Ohio Statehood Chart (inner wheel), Nov 3, 2026 Transit Chart (outer wheel)

So the benchmark for GOP outperformance on Election Day is 3.7%. That’s the average. The question becomes, if we look at the selected poll averages and all the different polls out there, Sherrod Brown is effectively ahead by 0.5 points.

If the Republicans outperform the polls, even if it’s only by 3%, they still win Ohio. But you can see how this is going to be a very close race. And you can see that the DSA has gained so much power. I would argue that the DSA is more dangerous than anything you could conjure up with the rise of the Democratic electorate during the time of Obama.

Obama is very conservative, although he has supported El-Sayed in Michigan.

Key House Battlegrounds and the Blue Trickle Scenario

Okay, here’s what I currently see. Now, this will change day to day. Right now, I’m seeing Texas going red, Ohio going red, Michigan going red, Maine going red, and Alaska going red.

However, with the five House races, remember, these House races are indicative of where we’re heading in terms of the congressional vote. If I know what’s happening in these House races, and we can make accurate predictions, we can say they’re all leaning Democrat. So we don’t have a blue wave. We have a blue trickle.

The question is, how big will that trickle be?

Now, it’s possible Pennsylvania-7 could flip red, and I’ll give my final tally the night before. Wisconsin-3 is likely to go Democrat. Pennsylvania-8 could also flip. Michigan-7 could flip as well.

So, of those three, Pennsylvania-7, Michigan-7, and Pennsylvania-8 are really the ones to watch.

Wisconsin is pretty far gone. Colorado is pretty far gone. And of all these races, I’m really looking at Pennsylvania-8 and Michigan-7. Those are the two.

America’s Third Uranus Return and Rising Political Polarization

Now, the thing is, what’s not helping, and what’s accelerating the radicalization of the American body politic, has to do with America’s third Uranus return.

So we can see here, if we look at the United States black box, look at the U.S. and the turmoil. Now, we don’t have a recession right now, but look at what happens from 2027 on. Does that look like more of a recession or an inflationary, stagflationary environment? More so or less so?

More so.

So we’re looking at more political strife, disagreement, extreme polarization, and radicalization. And we’re looking at much higher inflation.

Why Political Friction Leads to Inflation

See, when government works and people are getting along, even if they fight with each other, they can come up with a bill. Once bills get passed, that reduces friction.

When you have so much friction at the political level and at the financial level, and they’re printing money to make up the difference for everything, they’re debasing everything in the process. And that creates inflation.

So remember, friction equals inflation. You want to reduce costs? Reduce the friction.

To watch the full presentation and more like this, join the Global Transformation Astrology Membership. Go to gta.williamstickevers.com and become a GTA member today.


A trends forecaster, William’s annual global forecasts are backed by a deep study of economies, geopolitics, archetypal cosmology, and modern astrological forecasting techniques. William’s predictions for the outcome of the U.S. Midterm and Presidential Elections are well documented on his blog.

William Stickevers is a strategic astrological advisor, advising clients from 28 countries for nearly four decades with strategy and cosmic insight and foresight to gain an asymmetrical advantage in their investing, business planning and decisions, and to live a more fulfilled life according to their soul’s code and calling.

William has been a regular guest on Coast to Coast AM with George Noory and The Jerry Wills Show, and featured on WABC’s The Other Side of Midnight with Walter Sterling, Richard Syrett’s Strange Planet, The Unexplained with Howard Hughes, Beyond Reality Radio with Jason Hawes and JV Johnson, We Don’t Die Radio with Sandra Champlain, Supernatural Girlz, Paranormal Podcast, and Alan Steinfeld’s New Realities. An international speaker, William has lectured at the New York Open Center, Edgar Cayce’s Association for Research and Enlightenment (A.R.E.), two Funai Media events in Tokyo, Japan, the United Astrology Conference (2018), for the National Council for Geocosmic Research (NYC, Long Island, New Jersey, Milwaukee, San Francisco chapters), American Federation of Astrologers (Los Angeles), the Astrological Society of Connecticut, the San Francisco Astrological Society, and in Europe (Munich and Bucharest) and Japan (Tokyo, Osaka, Yokohama).

More information on Programs, Consultations and Forecast Webinars are at his website www.williamstickevers.com.

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