An excerpt from the GTA Member Webinar on November 1, 2024.
Transcript edited for print.
So, let’s do something based on an idea from this guy who calls himself something like the altcoin king. He has this talent for picking obscure altcoins that end up getting thousand-percent returns. And in a podcast, he finally admitted his secret. I thought it was pretty interesting how he did it, though there was nothing ingenious about it at all.
What he did was look up these altcoins on Google Trends. When he noticed an altcoin, say one ranked like number 400 out of 5,000 coins, moving up a couple of notches, he’d check Google Trends. If he saw the trend moving up for that coin, he’d put some money in for a few weeks.
He’d put in, like, a thousand dollars, let it run, and after a couple of weeks, he’d cash out, making like a 500% or 1,000% return. He kept doing this over and over again and got a reputation for it. So, I thought, wait a minute—why can’t we do that with elections? If you can do that with altcoins, why not use the same principle to see what people are paying attention to? Like, what’s the social activity that translates to an investment—or in this case, a vote?
Election Insights Based on Google Trends
Take the last 30 days of Google search activity, for instance. Look at the data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump in Wisconsin. Trump is trouncing Kamala. The activity is 62% for Trump and 38% for Kamala. In Michigan, it’s the same thing: 63% for Trump, 37% for Kamala. People talking about Trump on the internet, podcasting, posting, looking him up—all of this online activity gets measured in Google Analytics. And where’s the focus? It’s Trump, Trump, Trump—constantly.
Now, let’s go back to Wisconsin. CNN wants you to believe Kamala Harris is ahead by six points. They say she went from being tied to leading by six points in just a week… impossible. You can see they’re pulling one over on us. Look at Pennsylvania—66% for Trump and 34% for Kamala. Over double. Where’s this so-called momentum for Kamala? I don’t see it.
Polling Accuracy and Blue Wall States
Now, let’s talk about polling. If you take the most accurate pollsters for the so-called blue wall states—Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan—these are the three states Kamala must win. She needs to win all three. In 2020, Rasmussen said Biden was ahead by 3 points in Pennsylvania, but the final result was 1.2 points, so they oversampled Democrats.
In Wisconsin, Trafalgar said Biden was ahead by one point, but Biden underperformed. They oversampled Democrats again. In Michigan, Insider Advantage was the most accurate. They said Biden would win by 2 points, and he won by 2.8. So, they under-sampled Michigan but were still the closest.
Fast forward to now, 2024. Rasmussen says Trump is up by 2 in Pennsylvania. Trafalgar says Trump is up by 1 in Wisconsin. And Insider Advantage says Trump is up by 1 in Michigan.
Probability of Kamala Winning
So, what’s the probability that Trump wins at least one of these three states? See, I’m trying to get you to think in terms of probabilities because astrology is all about symbols, intuition, and hermeneutics—it points to probabilities. What’s probable? Are you going to get the job? Stay married? Is your business going to 100X or declare bankruptcy? It’s all probabilities.
Trump only needs one of these states to win, but Kamala needs all three. So, what are the odds? Kamala’s odds of sweeping the blue wall are only 10%. Let’s put it this way: if I told you there’s a 10% chance you could make it as an A-list actor in Hollywood and live the Brad Pitt life, would you sell all your Bitcoin, move to Hollywood, and start auditioning? Probably not. That’s what 10% looks like.
Even if you give her the benefit of the doubt and everything goes perfectly for her campaign—her strategy of attacking Trump rather than focusing on her own agenda works and all the undecided voters crack for her—her best-case scenario is a 35% probability of winning. That’s it.
Trump Campaign Gaining Momentum
What’s interesting is that Kamala was at 32% yesterday, so she’s slightly up. But I don’t know who’s putting all this money on her at the last second when the data is so contrarian (Mark Cuban, perhaps?). Somebody’s betting highly on her, but the data doesn’t back it up. Even in a 50-50 race, you wouldn’t call this a sure thing.
Here’s the reason I believe they’re panicking: Trump’s campaign is gaining traction. Kamala initially had momentum, but the trends show Trump is experiencing a second wind, especially in the battleground states. These states remain competitive, with margins ranging from one to four points. But Kamala’s strategy isn’t helping. Instead of pushing her own agenda, she’s focused on attacking Trump—comparing him to Hitler, for example. Frank Luntz, a Republican pollster, said her momentum froze when she shifted to this strategy.
Historical Data and Trends from CNN
And then there’s the data. CNN’s senior data reporter, Harry Enten, said there are clear signs that Trump is on track to win. Just 28% of voters think the country is going in the right direction. Historically, whenever that number has been in the ballpark of 25%, the incumbent party loses—big time. The data goes all the way back to the 1940s, and it’s consistent.
As of today, only 26.3% believe the country is on the right track, and around 65% think it’s on the wrong track. Every time we’ve seen this, the incumbent party loses.
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A trends forecaster, William’s annual global forecasts are backed by a deep study of economies, geopolitics, archetypal cosmology, and modern astrological forecasting techniques. William’s predictions for the outcome of the U.S. Midterm and Presidential Elections are well documented on his blog.
William Stickevers is a strategic astrological advisor, advising clients from 28 countries for over three decades with strategy and cosmic insight and foresight to gain an asymmetrical advantage in their investing, business planning and decisions, and to live a more fulfilled life according to their soul’s code and calling.
William has been a regular guest on Coast to Coast AM with George Noory and The Jerry Wills Show, and featured on The Unexplained with Howard Hughes, Beyond Reality Radio with Jason Hawes and JV Johnson, We Don’t Die Radio with Sandra Champlain, Supernatural Girlz, Paranormal Podcast, and Alan Steinfeld’s New Realities. An international speaker, William has lectured at the New York Open Center, Edgar Cayce’s Association for Research and Enlightenment (A.R.E.), two Funai Media events in Tokyo, Japan, the United Astrology Conference (2018), for the National Council for Geocosmic Research (NYC, Long Island, New Jersey, San Francisco chapters), American Federation of Astrologers (Los Angeles), the Astrological Society of Connecticut, the San Francisco Astrological Society, and in Europe (Munich and Bucharest) and Japan (Tokyo, Osaka, Yokohama).
More information on Programs, Consultations and Forecast Webinars are at his website www.williamstickevers.com.