Documented 85% Accuracy in U.S. Election Forecasts Since 2008
Across William Stickevers’ broader public forecasts, his documented track record exceeds 70% accuracy.
What William Called Before It Happened
A documented prediction track record across elections, markets, geopolitics, cryptocurrency, and global transformation cycles.
William Stickevers has built a well-documented forecasting record since 2008 by identifying major geopolitical, economic, and financial shifts before they are reflected in mainstream models, narratives, or consensus expectations.
The predictions below are a selected cross-section from his broader body of work. Across different domains and timeframes, they reveal a consistent pattern: early recognition, independent positioning, and alignment with real-world events.
Select Accurate Forecasts Since 2008
A comprehensive record, including full annual forecasts and detailed analyses, is available within the complete prediction track record archives.
Geopolitics / International Conflicts
✅ Trump Administration Launching Aggressive Trade War Against China
Issued: January 1, 2017 in the Global Outlook 2017 Webinar
At a time when most analysts expected continued U.S.-China economic cooperation and deepening integration, William Stickevers made an explicit directional forecast that the Trump administration would launch an aggressive trade war against China. Actions intensified from 2018 onward, reshaping global supply chains with tariffs and confrontational policy. This early, precise call captured the shift away from the prevailing narrative of harmonious globalization, proving directionally accurate with enduring impacts on international trade and economic strategy that remain visible today.
✅ Collapse of the Afghan Peace Process
Issued: February 6, 2021 in the Global Outlook 2021 Webinar
On February 6, 2021, with the Doha Agreement widely expected to hold and enable an orderly U.S. withdrawal, William Stickevers warned that the Afghan peace process would collapse amid renewed violence and U.S. force redeployment. The Taliban offensive intensified throughout 2021, the U.S. completed its withdrawal in August, and the government fell rapidly to the Taliban—exactly as forecasted. This prediction cut against the prevailing narrative of managed stabilization and delivered a dramatic, chaotic outcome that reshaped regional geopolitics.
✅ U.S. Reveal or Deployment of Advanced Weapon as Message to China and Russia
Issued: February 5, 2022 in the Global Outlook 2022 Webinar
On February 5, 2022, amid a dominant focus on Ukraine aid and few expectations of dramatic new strategic signaling, William Stickevers predicted the U.S. would reveal or deploy a new advanced weapon as a powerful message to China and Russia. On December 2, 2022, the Department of Defense publicly unveiled the B-21 Raider stealth bomber in a high-profile ceremony, explicitly framed by leadership as a deterrent signal demonstrating American resolve against peer adversaries. The singular, well-timed event aligned closely with the prediction and stood as a clear contrarian emphasis on long-term peer competition.
Elections & Political Forecasts
✅ Early Identification of Kamala Harris as Top Democratic Contender
Issued: January 20, 2019 at the New York Open Center Astrology Predictions Panel hosted by Alan Steinfeld of New Realities
In a January 20, 2019 public forecast, when Kamala Harris was still a relatively new senator with limited national name recognition and the 2020 Democratic primary field was wide open, William Stickevers identified her as “the one to watch” and stated that she was “being positioned” with “the strongest overall political indicators” in her chart. He explicitly highlighted her as a key Democratic contender. Harris went on to secure the vice presidential nomination in 2020 and become the Democratic presidential nominee in 2024. This early directional call stood out against the crowded field and mainstream speculation at the time.
✅ Biden’s Decision Not to Run for Re-Election
Issued: February 5, 2022 in the Global Outlook 2022 Webinar
Made in February 2022—two and a half years before Biden’s July 2024 withdrawal—when President Biden’s team and most analysts projected strong intent to seek a second term in 2024, William Stickevers forecasted he might announce he would not run again, drawing a parallel to President Lyndon Johnson’s 1968 withdrawal. Biden did withdraw on July 21, 2024, amid party pressure, with numerous analyses explicitly comparing the move to LBJ’s decision. This bold early call captured the political dynamics and historical parallel precisely, at a time when such an outcome was widely considered unlikely.
✅ Exact 2024 U.S. Presidential Election Electoral College Outcome
Published on October 18, 2024 on 2024 Presidential Election – William Stickevers https://williamstickevers.com/prediction-track-record/u-s-elections-predictions/2024-presidential-election/
In July 2024, when most polls and mainstream forecasts showed a tight or uncertain race between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris, William Stickevers precisely forecasted the exact Electoral College outcome as Trump 312 – Harris 226. He maintained and publicly updated this specific projection through election day. The actual certified result matched his forecast with 100% accuracy. This pinpoint call stands as one of the most precise and verifiable election predictions on record.
✅ UK Conservative Government Collapse
Issued: February 24, 2024 in the Global Outlook 2024 Webinar
On February 24, 2024, during his Global Outlook 2024 webinar — at a time when many were still uncertain about the scale of the shift — William Stickevers predicted the UK Conservative government would collapse and be replaced by Labour in a landslide. The July 4, 2024 election delivered exactly that outcome: a dramatic Labour victory with a 174-seat majority and the Conservatives suffering their worst defeat in history.
Markets & Assets
✅ Bitcoin's Rise as a Major Asset Class — Called in 2010
Issued: Early 2010
In early 2010—when Bitcoin was still in its infancy, known only to a tiny handful of tech enthusiasts, and valued at pennies—William Stickevers (a former IT professional) boldly predicted that Bitcoin would become a significant financial asset and experience substantial price increases. His background in technology gave him early exposure to the infrastructure, but it was his cycle research that identified the monetary significance before any mainstream analyst was paying attention. He even raised the topic at the 2012 United Astrology Conference (UAC) financial astrology panel, where none of the other experts had heard of it. Bitcoin went on to deliver one of the most explosive rises in financial history, reaching an all-time high above $126,000 in 2025 and establishing itself as a multi-trillion-dollar asset class with growing institutional and sovereign adoption. This ultra-early contrarian call stands as one of the most prescient market forecasts of the digital age.
✅ Bitcoin Exceeds $100,000
Issued: February 24, 2024 in the Global Outlook 2024 Webinar
When many market forecasts projected Bitcoin remaining below $100,000 by the end of 2024, William Stickevers boldly called for it to exceed that level. Bitcoin surpassed $100k in December 2024 and climbed higher into 2025. This clear fulfillment underscored the strengthening crypto bull market direction that few anticipated with such conviction at the time.
✅ Gold's Substantial Rally to $2,400+ and Beyond
Issued: February 24, 2024 in the Global Outlook 2024 Webinar
In February 2024, with consensus expecting only modest gains or consolidation for gold, William Stickevers forecasted a substantial rally targeting ~$2,400/oz into 2025, including major moves in Aug–Oct 2024. Gold not only broke $2,400 repeatedly but reached all-time highs and sustained gains into 2025. The core bullish thesis has continued unfolding strongly into 2026, validating the contrarian directional call made well ahead of the move.
✅ Rotation into Bitcoin and Gold as Safe Havens Amid Systemic Distrust
Issued: February 12, 2025 in the Global Outlook 2025 Webinar
On February 12, 2025, when markets widely anticipated stabilization in traditional finance and stocks, William Stickevers issued a contrarian call that Bitcoin and gold would surge as safe-haven assets amid eroding public trust in conventional systems. Both predictions materialized powerfully: gold rose approximately 65% for the year, hitting record peaks, while Bitcoin climbed to new all-time highs before stabilizing at elevated levels. This early recognition of a decentralized flight-to-safety rotation proved directionally and materially correct.
Macro Structural Shifts
✅ US Manufacturing Crisis in Second Half of 2020
Issued: February 16, 2020 in the Global Outlook 2020 Webinar
On February 16, 2020—weeks before the COVID lockdowns—William Stickevers forecasted a major crisis or collapse in the US manufacturing index during the second half of 2020. At the time, mainstream consensus expected continued economic expansion with only mild slowdown risks. The ISM Manufacturing PMI instead plunged to historic lows, validating the directional call amid widespread denial of severe disruption. The longer-term perspective has also held: manufacturing weakness and reconfiguration strengthened into 2021–2025.
On the same day, as part of a cohesive early-warning framework while the world was still in denial, Stickevers also issued the following call:
✅ COVID-19 Multi-Wave Spread and Global Economic Disruption
Issued: February 16, 2020 in the Global Outlook 2020 Webinar
On February 16, 2020—when most observers expected quick containment and minimal global impact—William Stickevers predicted that coronavirus would spread in distinct waves (Phase 1 in Q1-Q2 2020, Phase 2 later that year possibly hitting other regions), causing severe economic disruption, especially in China. The pandemic unfolded exactly in multi-wave patterns with massive global spread and deep economic hits worldwide. The wave structure and long-term economic disruption thesis proved directionally correct, with jaw-dropping timing issued right as the threat was still widely downplayed.
For a comprehensive track record of William’s predictions, including full annual forecasts and detailed analyses, see the prediction track record archives.