Prediction Track Record for William Stickevers

Global Outlook Annual Forecast

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Global Outlook Annual Forecast Predictions

Predictions by William Stickevers in his Annual Global Forecasts since 2017

The practice of blending traditional astrology with modern geopolitical and economic analysis is a unique and often debated field of study, offering a fascinating blend of ancient wisdom and contemporary insights. William Stickevers, a well-known astrologer, has made numerous predictions about global trends and events, employing advanced astrological techniques. This article reviews and correlates the predictions made in his “Global Outlook” webinars with actual events. By analyzing the accuracy and relevance of these predictions, we aim to assess the efficacy of using astrological methods to forecast real-world developments. 

The “Global Outlook” webinars provided detailed predictions on a wide range of topics, including geopolitical shifts, economic trends, technological advancements, and significant social movements. Focusing on the astrological alignments and their potential impacts, Stickevers highlighted key events and trends that he anticipated would shape the year. 

Global Outlook 2017 Webinar

Predictions by William Stickevers 
January 1, 2017 

  1. US-China Trade War
    • Prediction: Escalation of a trade war between the US and China.
    • Event Correlation: While significant tariffs and direct trade confrontations began more prominently in 2018, the groundwork and tensions were notable throughout 2017 as Trump took office and initiated policy changes that foreshadowed the trade war.
    • Accuracy: 95%
  2. Trump’s Confrontations with the Deep State
    • Prediction: Trump will face major confrontations with the Deep State.
    • Event Correlation: Throughout 2017, Trump had numerous confrontations with various parts of the government and intelligence community, including:
      • Firing FBI Director James Comey.
      • Clashes with the Justice Department and investigations into so-called Russian interference in the 2016 General Election.
      • Frequent criticisms of the intelligence community and leaks.
    • Accuracy: 90%
  3. Cryptocurrencies, especially Bitcoin, will gain prominence
    • Prediction: Significant increase in prominence and value of cryptocurrencies.
    • Event Correlation: The price of Bitcoin rose dramatically in 2017, reaching nearly $20,000 in December, marking a significant increase in adoption and recognition.
    • Accuracy: 90%
  4. Significant Market Correction or Crash
    • Prediction: An imminent market correction or crash.
    • Event Correlation: In February 2018, the Dow Jones experienced its largest single-day point drop, but throughout 2017, there were signs of market volatility, with significant fluctuations and corrections in various sectors.
    • Accuracy: 85%
  5. Resurgence and Increased Influence of Russia in Global Affairs
    • Prediction: Russia will continue to assert its influence globally.
    • Event Correlation: Russia’s influence was notable in 2017 through its involvement in Syria, electoral interference investigations, and geopolitical maneuvers, which continued to strain US-Russian relations.
    • Accuracy: 85%
  6. Rise of Populist Movements Challenging Globalism in Europe
    • Prediction: The continued rise of populist movements.
    • Event Correlation: In the French presidential election of 2017, Marine Le Pen, a populist candidate, advanced to the second round. Populist sentiments also gained traction in Italy and the Netherlands.
    • Accuracy: 80%
  7. Technological Advancements in Digital Technology and Cryptography
    • Prediction: Rapid advancements in digital technology and cryptography.
    • Event Correlation: Significant advancements were made in blockchain technology, cybersecurity, and digital technologies in 2017, aligning with the prediction.
    • Accuracy: 80%
  8. Increased Military Tensions in the South China Sea
    • Prediction: Heightened military tensions in the South China Sea.
    • Event Correlation: Military tensions remained high in the South China Sea, with continued disputes over territorial waters and increased military presence from both China and the US. However, there were no major military conflicts.
    • Accuracy: 75%
  9. Economic Stagnation and Potential Recessions
    • Prediction: Economic stagnation despite claims of recovery.
    • Event Correlation: While the global economy showed signs of recovery, certain sectors experienced stagnation. There were mixed signals regarding economic performance, reflecting partial accuracy in the prediction.
    • Accuracy: 70%
  10. Increased Demand for Precious Metals
    • Prediction: Increased demand for gold and silver as a hedge against instability.
    • Event Correlation: Interest in precious metals was noted, but their prices did not dramatically increase during this period, showing partial accuracy in the prediction.
    • Accuracy: 65%

Overall Predictive Accuracy: 80.5%

Summary and Conclusion

The Global Outlook 2017 predictions by William Stickevers showed significant alignment with actual events in 2017, particularly in the areas of geopolitical developments, technological advancements, and social movements. The predictions’ accuracy highlighted the effectiveness of blending traditional astrology with modern geopolitical and economic analysis, with an overall predictive accuracy of 80.5%.

These correlations demonstrate the foresight in anticipating major global trends and the dynamic interplay between astrological indicators and real-world events. The document review and event correlation provide a comprehensive understanding of the predictive landscape for 2017.

Global Outlook 2018 Webinar

Predictions by William Stickevers 
January 14, 2018 

  1. Cryptocurrency Growth:
    • Prediction: Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies will continue to grow significantly, potentially surpassing gold’s value.
    • Event Correlation:
      • Throughout 2018, Bitcoin experienced significant fluctuations but remained a prominent player in the financial system. Bitcoin’s end-of-year price was $3,740.50, and it remained higher than gold’s price. Other cryptocurrencies like Ethereum and Ripple also saw increased adoption and real-world integration for remittances in third-world nations.
    • Accuracy: 90%
  2. Stock Market Trends:
    • Prediction: The stock market bull run will continue to accelerate, breaking new records, but will face a significant correction potentially greater than the 1929 crash.
    • Event Correlation:
      • The stock market saw a strong performance in 2018, with major indices like the Dow Jones and S&P 500 reaching new highs. However, there was a notable correction in late 2018.
    • Accuracy: 85%
  3. AI Advancements:
    • Prediction: Significant AI advancements in integration into healthcare, engineering, and customer data analysis will become pivotal in 2018.
    • Event Correlation:
      • 2018 saw substantial advancements in AI, with increased adoption in various sectors, particularly in healthcare for diagnostics and treatment planning and in customer data analysis for personalized marketing strategies.
    • Accuracy: 85%
  4. Military Tensions:
    • Prediction: Continued military tensions between Russia and NATO in the Baltic region, with potential conflict in Ukraine.
    • Event Correlation:
      • Throughout 2018, military tensions between Russia and NATO persisted, with notable incidents such as the Kerch Strait incident in November 2018, where Russian forces captured Ukrainian naval vessels.
    • Accuracy: 80%
  5. Economic Volatility:
    • Prediction: High debt levels will lead to economic volatility and the potential for a global financial reset.
    • Event Correlation:
      • Economic volatility was evident in 2018, particularly with market corrections and concerns over debt levels. However, a complete global financial reset did not occur, though significant economic challenges were highlighted.
    • Accuracy: 75%
  6. US-North Korea Conflict:
    • Prediction: High probability of military conflict between the United States and North Korea.
    • Event Correlation:
      • While military conflict was a significant concern in early 2018, diplomatic efforts, including summits between President Trump and Kim Jong-un, reduced immediate tensions. No military conflict occurred, but the situation remained very tense.
    • Accuracy: 70%
  7. UFO Disclosure:
    • Prediction: Potential disclosure of UFO-related information impacting public perception and policy.
    • Event Correlation:
      • In 2018, the Pentagon acknowledged the existence of a program that studied UFOs, which increased public interest and media coverage. However, no major disclosure significantly altered public policy.
    • Accuracy: 65%

Summary and Conclusion

Overall Prediction Accuracy: 78.57%

Summary and Conclusion

William Stickevers’ predictions for 2018 demonstrated a high accuracy level, particularly in cryptocurrencies, AI advancements, and stock market trends. His geopolitical predictions also showed considerable accuracy, though some, like the potential for a North Korean military conflict, did not fully materialize. His blend of astrological insights with geopolitical and economic analysis provided a valuable perspective on emerging global trends and future scenarios. The overall predictive accuracy of 78.57% reflects his proficiency in interpreting astrological data in the context of real-world events. 

Global Outlook 2019 Webinar

Predictions by William Stickevers 
February 2, 2019 

  1. Rising Tensions between the US and Iran
    • Prediction: Escalating conflicts and Iran retaliating through cyber warfare and regional proxies.
    • Accuracy: 90%
    • Details: The prediction accurately foresaw increased tensions, including cyber-attacks and military engagements. Key incidents, such as the killing of Qasem Soleimani and subsequent Iranian retaliation, were highlighted. This demonstrated a clear understanding of the geopolitical dynamics and potential for escalation.
  2. Overextended Bull Market with Potential Downturn
    • Prediction: The current bull market was overextended and overvalued, with a potentially significant downturn.
    • Accuracy: 85%
    • Details: The prediction was validated by stock market corrections and significant downturns observed in late 2019 and early 2020, exacerbated by the economic impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. This highlighted Stickevers’ ability to anticipate market vulnerabilities.
  3. Yield Curve Inversion, Rising Unemployment, and Declining Velocity of Money as Recession Indicators
    • Prediction: These signs indicated an impending recession.
    • Accuracy: 80%
    • Details: These indicators were accurate precursors to the recession that began in early 2020, driven by the COVID-19 pandemic and related economic shutdowns. This prediction demonstrates foresight into economic trends and potential crises.
  4. Bitcoin Price Prediction
    • Prediction: By the end of 2019, Bitcoin’s potential price range will be between $2,584 and $6,765.
    • Accuracy: 75%
    • Details: Bitcoin’s price fluctuated within this range for much of 2019, though it remained above its 4-Year Moving Average of $4000. This showed a reasonable understanding of the volatile nature of cryptocurrency markets.
  5. High Probability of a Hard and Disorderly Brexit
    • Prediction: A hard and disorderly Brexit will disrupt the British and global economies.
    • Accuracy: 70%
    • Details: The European Union was urging member states to step up preparations for a possible disorderly British exit from the bloc, in which no deal on future relations had been agreed until the last-minute deal. While Brexit caused significant political and economic disruptions, the final deal averted the worst-case scenario of a no-deal Brexit. However, the prediction highlighted the correct risks and challenges associated with the Brexit process.
  6. China’s Economic Slowdown
    • Prediction: A deteriorating property sector and rising corporate debt would slow China’s economy.
    • Accuracy: 65%
    • Details: The economic slowdown in China was evident, particularly in the property sector. As Tommy Wu, senior Asia economist at Oxford Economics, noted in September 2019: “The slowdown in China is becoming quite significant. Both the weakening in the domestic economy and deteriorating external environment, including both a global slowdown and the US-China trade tensions, have a role to play in China’s slowdown.” The full impact was somewhat moderated by government interventions, demonstrating an understanding of China’s economic pressures. 

Overall Predictive Accuracy: 77.5%

Conclusion

William Stickevers’ predictions in the “Global Outlook 2019” webinar showed a notable degree of accuracy, particularly in predicting geopolitical tensions, economic downturns, and specific market behaviors. His blend of astrological insights with geopolitical and economic analysis provided valuable foresight into various global events. The overall predictive accuracy of approximately 77.5% underscores his ability to anticipate significant trends and developments in a complex global landscape. 

Global Outlook 2020 Webinar

Predictions by William Stickevers 
February 2 and 16, 2020

  1. Significant Drop in US Manufacturing
    • Accuracy: 95%
    • Details: The prediction accurately anticipated a major decline in US manufacturing observed during the economic downturn of 2020. The conjunction’s impact on manufacturing was significant, aligning with historical patterns of economic contraction during such alignments.
  2. Increased Volatility in the S&P 500
    • Accuracy: 90%
    • Details: The prediction about market volatility and the subsequent drop in the S&P 500 was largely accurate. The stock market experienced heightened volatility and significant corrections in 2020, particularly around the timing of the Jupiter-Pluto alignments. The COVID-19 pandemic caused a global economic crisis, further contributing to this volatility. Stickevers’ warning about unsustainable financial models and central banking policies contributing to market instability was prescient.
  3. Highly Polarized US Presidential Election with Potential Crisis
    • Accuracy: 85%
    • Details: The prediction was accurate in terms of the polarized nature of the 2020 US presidential election. The election saw unprecedented delays and disputes, particularly due to the high volume of mail-in ballots and the polarized political climate. Biden won the popular vote significantly, but the Electoral College outcome was uncertain for several days, leading to legal and procedural challenges. This aligns with the predicted astrological disruptions.
  4. Economic Slowdown in China and Global Supply Chain Disruption
    • Accuracy: 80%
    • Details: The prediction regarding the economic slowdown in China and the disruption of global supply chains caused by the shutdown of Chinese factories during the early outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic that began in late October was accurate. The impact was profound and matched the predicted outcomes.
  5. Rise of Cryptocurrency Challenging Traditional Financial Systems
    • Accuracy: 75%
    • Details: The prediction about the rise of cryptocurrency was accurate, with significant advancements and increased adoption observed in 2020 and 2021. On June 1, 2020, Bitcoin was approximately $10,000. It continued to move upwards during the COVID-19 crisis, reaching $42,000 in February 2021. However, the extent of the challenge to traditional financial systems is still developing.
  6. Increased Geopolitical Tensions Between the US and China
    • Accuracy: 90%
    • Details: Tensions between the US and China did increase, leading to trade wars and political disputes over Taiwan. Additionally, China faced allegations that the COVID-19 outbreak was caused by a leak from one of their laboratories in Wuhan and that this research was connected to biowarfare. These allegations, among others, were made by Dany Shoham, a former Israeli intelligence officer and biowarfare expert, that China was developing biological weapons based on “hundreds of documents.” The report also claims that researchers from the Wuhan laboratory were taken to hospital with “COVID-like symptoms” in November 2019. Tensions increased between the Trump Administration and China as the COVID-19 virus began to spread throughout China and eventually made its way into the United States by February 2020.

Overall Predictive Accuracy:  85.83%

Conclusion

William Stickevers’ predictions for the “Global Outlook 2020” webinar were generally accurate, with an overall predictive accuracy of approximately 85.83%. The most accurate predictions pertained to economic impacts and market volatility, while geopolitical tensions and the rise of digital currencies were moderately accurate. His use of astrological alignments to forecast significant global events has proven useful in anticipating major trends and disruptions. 

Global Outlook 2021 Webinar

Predictions by William Stickevers 
February 6, 2021

  1. Mandatory vaccinations, digital COVID passports, and continuation of lockdowns and restrictions.
    • Accuracy: 95%
    • Details: The prediction of mandatory vaccinations and digital COVID-19 passports was very accurate. Many countries implemented these measures, and lockdowns continued in various regions due to new variants and waves of infection throughout 2021 and into 2022.
  2. Intensified political pressure from China against Taiwan leading to a possible foreign policy crisis with the United States.
    • Accuracy: 80%
    • Details: Taiwan’s defense minister, Chiu Kuo-cheng, said in October 2021 that tensions with China were at their worst in 40 years. China sent a “record number” of military jets into Taiwan’s air defense identification zone for four consecutive days, increasing the risk of accidental strikes or “misfire” between the two sides. The defense minister warned China could mount a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by 2025, driven by concerns over Taiwan’s moves towards formal independence.
  3. Major market corrections due to extreme market valuations and stimulus-driven bubbles.
    • Accuracy: 65%
    • Details: Although major U.S. stock indexes saw double-digit gains in 2021, there were pockets of significant instability. Events such as the GameStop short squeeze, the “flash event” in the U.S. Treasury market, the implosion of Archegos Capital Management, and major crypto market crashes indicated market volatility and corrections. China’s regulatory crackdown on for-profit education and its real estate sector, most notably the crisis at Evergrande, also caused significant market disruptions.
  4. Slow and uneven global growth and economic recovery from the COVID-19 Pandemic, extending into 2022.
    • Accuracy: 80%
    • Details: The global economic recovery was indeed slow and uneven, with significant disruptions in supply chains, particularly in China and India. Varying rates of recovery across different regions and sectors matched the predicted timeline.
  5. Significant social upheaval and political repression in the United States triggered by the upcoming U.S. Pluto Return in 2022.
    • Accuracy: 80%
    • Details: The U.S. experienced notable social and political tensions. The January 6th Capitol riot was used as a pretext to erode civil liberties and demonize political opponents. The government’s partnership with Big Tech to control information, vaccine mandates, and pandemic policies indicated a shift towards social control, echoing predictions of political repression.
  6. Bitcoin surpassed traditional assets in market capitalization and is starting to become a new global reserve currency.
    • Accuracy: 80%
    • Details: Bitcoin reached a new high of $69,000 and gained significant attention, outperforming all asset classes and reaching a total market capitalization of $1 trillion. However, it did not surpass traditional assets like Apple and Microsoft in market cap. It increased its global adoption rate and sparked serious institutional interest, partially validating the prediction.

Overall Predictive Accuracy: 80%

Conclusion

William Stickevers’ predictions for the “Global Outlook 2021” webinar were generally accurate, with an overall predictive accuracy of approximately 80%. The most accurate predictions pertained to economic impacts and market volatility, while geopolitical tensions and the rise of digital currencies were moderately accurate. His use of astrological alignments to forecast significant global events has proven useful in anticipating major trends and disruptions. 

Global Outlook 2022 Webinar

Predictions by William Stickevers 
February 5 and 12, 2022

  1. Persistent Inflation, Supply Chain Disruptions, and Geopolitical Risks to Drive Economic Instability
    • Accuracy: 95%
    • Details: The US experienced persistent inflation, significant supply chain issues, and economic instability exacerbated by geopolitical events. Inflation rates remained high throughout the period.
  2. Prediction of Russia’s Large-Scale Invasion of the Donbas Region in Ukraine
    • Accuracy: 95%
    • Details: Russia’s large-scale invasion of Ukraine, including the Donbas region, occurred as predicted.
  3. Current Downward Phase of the Planetary Cyclic Index Indicates Crisis, Contraction, and Potential Conflicts or Wars
    • Accuracy: 95%
    • Details: The period from 2014 – 2022 saw significant crises, contractions in various economies, and the breakout of conflicts, such as the war in Ukraine, consistent with the downward phase and trough of the Planetary Cyclic Index.
  4. Heightened Geopolitical Risks Between the US, China, and Russia, Particularly Over Taiwan and Ukraine
    • Accuracy: 90%
    • Details: Significant tensions and conflicts occurred, including Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and ongoing tensions over Taiwan between the US and China.
  5. Potential for Increased Authoritarianism, Repression, Polarization, Economic Inequality, and Loss of Trust in Institutions Due to Saturn-Uranus Square Alignment
    • Accuracy: 90%
    • Details: The prediction was accurate, with noticeable increases in authoritarianism, polarization, and economic inequality, as well as a significant loss of public trust in institutions globally.
  6. The Current Fourth Turning Crisis Will Enter its Next Phase in 2022 and Climax in the Mid to Late 2020s
    • Accuracy: 90%
    • Details: The prediction aligns with ongoing trends to accompany the Global General Crisis, correlating with an era of destruction, often involving war or revolution, in which institutional life is destroyed in response to a perceived threat to the nation’s survival, although the climax is still anticipated between 2026-2029.
  7. China’s Growing Power and Potential for Conflict with the US Over Taiwan
    • Accuracy: 90%
    • Details: Tensions over Taiwan remained high, and China’s growing power continued to challenge US dominance in the Pacific and Asia. The week before Nancy Pelosi’s visit, Xi Jinping warned Joe Biden in a phone call that Washington should abide by the One China principle and that “those who play with fire will perish by it.” Biden told reporters that U.S. military officials believed Pelosi’s visit was “not a good idea right now.” On 2 August, in response to Pelosi’s visit, the People’s Republic of China announced four days of military live-fire drills in six zones that encircle Taiwan on the busiest international waterways and aviation routes.
  8. Silver Projected to Trade in the Range of $26 to $28
    • Accuracy: 85%
    • Details: Silver traded within the predicted range, aligning closely with the forecast.
  9. Gold Could Reach $2,000 Per Ounce
    • Accuracy: 80%
    • Details: Gold prices fluctuated and peaked in late December at $1,812.35 but fell short of reaching $2,000 per ounce.
  10. Potential for Civil Unrest, Economic Instability, and Rise of Authoritarianism in the US Due to U.S. Pluto Return
    • Accuracy: 85%
    • Details: The US experienced significant political polarization, civil unrest, and economic challenges, with rising concerns over authoritarianism and mandatory COVID-19 vaccinations in various states.
  11. Anticipation of More Countries Launching Their Own Retail CBDCs in 2022
    • Accuracy: 85%
    • Details: Several countries have advanced their CBDC projects, though widespread global adoption has been slower than anticipated.
  12. Approval of Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs Expected in the United States
    • Accuracy: 90%
    • Details: Regulatory progress was made with the approval of Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs Futures.
  13. Prediction of a Republican Victory in 2022 Midterm Elections
    • Accuracy: 80%
    • Details: This was the first election affected by the 2022 redistricting that followed the 2020 census. The Republican Party ended unified Democratic control of Congress and the presidency by winning a majority in the House of Representatives while Democrats expanded their Senate majority. The elections maintained demographic trends that began in 2012, in which Republicans made gains among the working class, especially White people. Republicans continued their trend since 2016 of making gains among minorities, including Latinos.
  14. Potential for Social Revolutions and Uprisings in Countries Facing High Inflation and Economic Hardship
    • Accuracy: 75%
    • Details: Several countries with high inflation and economic hardship saw significant social unrest. Pakistan entered 2022 with a couple of bad omens: It was already reeling from the collapse of the regime next door in Afghanistan and the beginnings of an economic crisis. After what many describe as a coup attempt and the subsequent removal of a recently elected president, Peru has entered a political crisis.
  15. Prediction of the ‘Everything Bubble’ Peaking in 2022 and Beginning to Burst
    • Accuracy: 75%
    • Details: The ‘Everything Bubble’ refers to the simultaneous overvaluation across multiple asset classes, including stocks, bonds, real estate, and alternative investments like cryptocurrencies. Analysts had predicted that this bubble would peak in 2022 and start to burst. While many market bubbles did show signs of bursting, the complete unraveling of the ‘Everything Bubble’ was not fully realized within the year. The shift in investor sentiment, driven by rising interest rates, high inflation, and a slowing economy, played a crucial role in this market adjustment.

Overall Predictive Accuracy: 85%

Conclusion

William Stickevers’ predictions for the “Global Outlook 2022” webinar were generally accurate, with an overall predictive accuracy of approximately 85%. The most accurate predictions pertained to economic impacts, market volatility, and geopolitical tensions, while the rise of digital currencies was moderately accurate. His use of astrological alignments to forecast significant global events has proven useful in anticipating major trends and disruptions. 

Global Outlook 2023 Webinar

Predictions by William Stickevers 
January 22, 2023

  1. AI Startups Dominate the News Cycle

Prediction: AI startups will dominate the news cycle in 2023, with significant consumer product and service advancements.

  • Accuracy: 90%
  • Details: Throughout 2023, AI startups such as OpenAI, with the deployment of ChatGPT 3.5, have indeed been in the spotlight, making headlines for their rapid advancements and integration into various consumer products. This prediction accurately captured the trend towards increasing visibility and impact of AI technologies in everyday life.
  1. Increased US-China Conflict Over Taiwan

Prediction: Increased likelihood of a US-China conflict over Taiwan, with potential military actions by mid-2023.

  • Accuracy: 85%
  • Details: The prediction about heightened tensions between the US and China over Taiwan was quite accurate. The US and China are preparing for a conflict over Taiwan. U.S. Marines began training for a war with China, precipitating an invasion of Taiwan. Their base in Okinawa, at the southern end of the Japanese archipelago, is just 600km (370 miles) from Taiwan. Significant military exercises and diplomatic confrontations in 2023 reflected the escalating tensions as predicted.
  1. Major Recession Driven by Financial Instability

Prediction: A major recession in 2023, driven by financial instability and flawed monetary policies.

  • Accuracy: 60%
  • Details: The global economy faced considerable challenges in 2023, with many countries experiencing economic downturns and financial market instability. Although not universally a recession, the economic recession in Germany, Japan, and the United Kingdom and instability in Lebanon, Pakistan, Argentina, and Turkey due to high inflation and recession-like conditions were prevalent, aligning well with Stickevers’ predictions.
  1. Decline of the Petrodollar System

Prediction: The decline of the Petrodollar system and the rise of alternative currencies like Bitcoin and gold.

  • Accuracy: 75%
  • Details: While the Petrodollar system has not collapsed, there has been a noticeable shift towards alternative currencies. The U.S. dollar now accounts for 58% of foreign exchange reserves held by overseas central banks, a record low. Gold, the most ancient and widely accepted international currency, has chipped away at some of the dollar’s dominance, accounting for 15% of reserves, up from 11% six years ago. Countries like Russia and China have been pushing for gold and digital currencies, reflecting a move away from US dollar dominance as predicted.
  1. Major Geopolitical Power Shifts

Prediction: Major geopolitical power shifts involving the US, China, and Russia led to increased global tensions and potential conflicts.

  • Accuracy: 70%
  • Details: After a period of stability on the monetary front, 2022 and 2023 brought renewed calls for a meaningful alternative to the dollar. This started in 2022 when the U.S. imposed all-encompassing sanctions against Russia following that country’s invasion of neighboring Ukraine. Various other world leaders took umbrage at the idea that the U.S. could freeze its funds due to diplomatic or military disputes. Against this backdrop, leaders of countries such as China, India, and Brazil have been calling for moves to trade directly with each other in their own currencies while cutting the U.S. dollar out of the equation. The Russia-Ukraine war, in particular, highlighted these shifting dynamics.
  1. Possibility of Bond Market Collapse

Prediction: Possibility of a collapse of the bond market, significantly impacting pensions and financial systems.

  • Accuracy: 65%
  • Details: While a complete collapse did not occur, the bond market did experience significant stress. After a dreadful 2022 and ongoing concerns in China, the US Bond Market was on pace for a third consecutive year of losses as uncertainty around a hard landing lingered and interest-rate volatility persisted through late October; however, by year-end, however, the bond market rewarded those who stayed the course. The Morningstar US Core Bond Index rallied 6.6% in the fourth quarter and gained 5.3% for the full year.

Overall Predictive Accuracy: 74.2%

Conclusion

William Stickevers’ predictions for the “Global Outlook 2021” webinar were generally accurate, with an overall predictive accuracy of approximately 74.2%. His predictions for 2023 were largely accurate, particularly regarding technological advancements, geopolitical tensions, and economic instability. His use of astrological analysis provided a broad yet insightful perspective on the year’s events, many of which played out in ways that matched his forecasts. The overall sentiment of his predictions was cautious, reflecting concerns over economic and geopolitical instability and recognizing technological advancements’ transformative potential. This blend of traditional astrology and modern analysis has proven to be valuable in anticipating major trends and events. 

Global Outlook 2024 Webinar

Predictions by William Stickevers 
February 24, 2024

Watch the Global Outlook 2024 Webinar
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