If the election were held today, Mitt Romney 301 would win electoral votes while Barack Obama would win in states worth 237 electoral votes, according the forecasting results using political “contest” horary of the 11 key swing states over the past 5 days. The 11 key swing states won by President Obama in 2008 and thought to be competitive in 2012. The states collectively hold 146 Electoral College votes and include Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin.
11 Key Swing State projections from political “snapshot” horary results based on the latest non partisan polling data:
- Colorado: 50-48 Romney — a surprise for many still expecting Obama to carry CO
- Florida: 50-49 Romney–closer then expected.
- Iowa: 51-48 Romney — many don’t expect this
- Michigan: 50-47 Obama — closer then expected
- Nevada: 50-48 Romney — this will surprise many
- New Hampshire: 51-48 Romney — a bellwether of the popular vote
- North Carolina: 52 – 47 Romney — not as close as expected
- Ohio: 50-49 Romney — the surprise of the night, late momentum improved ground game win the Buckeye state for Romney
- Pennsylvania: 51-48 Obama — much closer then expected
- Virginia: 51 -48 Romney — very close
- Wisconsin: 51-49 Romney — a real squeaker and surprise
