U.S. ELECTION PREDICTIONS TRACK RECORD
2026 Midterm Election
Closely Contested Races
Predictions by William Stickevers
Political Contest Horary AstroProbability*
and the 2026 U.S. Midterm Election
SENATE – HOUSE – GOVERNOR
Updated November 2, 2026 at 4:11 PM PST:
Overview
This page lists the predictions for the party to control the Senate and House after the 2026 U.S. Midterm Election, as well as predictions for the outcome of the Closely Contested Governor, District and State Elections for House and Senate seats according to Political Contest Horary AstroProbability* generated by geopolitical astrologer William Stickevers.
Political Contest Horary AstroProbability*
Each horary question will be focused on a specific race.
*AstroProbability: a composite set of mundane astrology forecasting methods.
Margin of Error is +/- 1.9% with a 95% level of confidence.
Political Contest Horary AstroProbability Accuracy Track Record 2008-2024:
610 predictions / 519 correct = 85.1% Accuracy Track Record
- 2024 U.S. Presidential Election Electoral College – 100% correct
- 2022 U.S. Midterm “Too Close To Call” Elections – 52.9% correct
- 2020 U.S. Presidential Election Electoral College – 93% correct
- 2018 U.S. Midterm “Too Close To Call” Elections – 81% correct
- Accurately predicted the outcome of the 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election
- 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Electoral College – 92% correct
- 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Elections – 87% correct
- 2014 U.S. Midterm “Too Close To Call” Elections – 83% correct
- 2012 U.S. Presidential General Election Electoral College – 88% correct
- 2010 U.S. Midterm “Toss-Up” Senate and House Elections – 80% correct
- Accurately predicted the outcome of the 2008 U.S. Presidential General Election
- 2008 U.S. Presidential General Election Electoral College – 96% correct
- Accurately predicted the outcome of the 2008 Democratic Primary Nomination
- 2008 U.S. Democratic Primary “Too Close To Call” Elections – 60% correct
The 2016, 2018, and 2020 election predictions were done with a team of political contest horary astrologers, led by William Stickevers.
House of Representatives
AstroProbability Projection for the November 3rd 2026 U.S. Midterm Election
House Control
218 Seats Needed for Majority Control
as of November 2, 2026:
|
State, District * incumbent |
William Stickevers Political Contest Horary |
|---|---|
| California (CA), 22nd Randy Villegas-D vs David Valadao*-R |
David Valadao
REP 51%
|
| Colorado (CO), 5th Jessica Killin-D vs Jeff Crank*-R |
Jeff Crank
REP 65%
|
| Florida (FL), 22nd Pia Dandiya-D vs Casey Askar-R |
Casey Askar
REP 55%
|
| Iowa (IA), 2nd Lindsay James-D vs Joe Mitchell-R |
Joe Mitchell
REP 60%
|
| Kentucky (KY), 6th Zach Dembo-D vs Ralph Alvarado-R |
Ralph Alvarado
REP 60%
|
| Michigan (MI), 4th Sean McCann-D vs Bill Huizenga*-R |
Bill Huizenga
REP 55%
|
| Michigan (MI), 7th William Lawrence-D vs Tom Barrett*-R |
Tom Barrett
REP 52%
|
| Montana (MT), 1st Sam Forstag-D vs Aaron Flint-R |
Aaron Flint
REP 55%
|
| New York (NY), 17th Cait Conley-D vs Michael Lawler*-R |
Cait Conley
DEM 55%
|
| Pennsylvania (PA), 1st Bob Harvie-D vs Brian Fitzpatrick*-R |
Brian Fitzpatrick
REP 60%
|
| Texas (TX), 34th Vicente Gonzalez*-D vs Eric Flores-R |
Vicente Gonzalez
DEM 65%
|
| Texas (TX), 35th Johnny Garcia-D vs Carlos De La Cruz-R |
Carlos De La Cruz
REP 52%
|
| Washington (WA), 3rd Marie Gluesenkamp Perez*-D vs John Braun-R |
Marie Gluesenkamp Perez
DEM 65%
|
Key: REP = Republican; DEM = Democratic; * = incumbent. Percentages represent William Stickevers' estimated probability of the projected candidate winning, not projected vote share.
Senate
AstroProbability Projection for the November 3rd 2026 U.S. Midterm Election
Senate Control
51 Seats Needed for Majority
as of November 2, 2026:
| State |
William Stickevers Projected Winner |
Projected Outcome |
|---|---|---|
| Alaska |
Dan Sullivan
REP 55%
|
Republican hold |
| Iowa |
Ashley Hinson
REP 65%
|
Republican hold |
| Kansas |
Roger Marshall
REP 55%
|
Republican hold |
| Maine |
Susan Collins
REP 55%
|
Republican hold |
| Michigan |
Mike Rogers
REP 55%
|
Republican pickup |
| Nebraska |
Pete Ricketts
REP 70%
|
Republican hold |
| Ohio |
Jon Husted
REP 60%
|
Republican hold |
| Texas |
Ken Paxton
REP 55%
|
Republican hold |
| Minnesota |
Peggy Flanagan
DEM 65%
|
Democratic hold |
| New Hampshire |
Chris Pappas
DEM 75%
|
Democratic hold |
| Georgia |
Jon Ossoff
DEM 80%
|
Democratic hold |
| North Carolina |
Roy Cooper
DEM 85%
|
Democratic pickup |
Key: REP = Republican; DEM = Democratic. Hold = projected victory by the party currently holding the Senate seat. Pickup = projected victory by the opposing party. Percentages represent William Stickevers' estimated probability of the projected candidate winning, not projected vote share. These are pre-election forecasts, not final results.
Governor
AstroProbability Projection for the November 3rd 2026 U.S. Midterm Election
Governor – Closely Contested Elections
as of November 2, 2026:
| State |
William Stickevers Projected Winner |
Opponent | Projected Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alaska |
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
DEM 60%
|
Republican field, including Bernadette Wilson | Democratic pickup |
| Georgia |
Rick Jackson
REP 52%
|
Keisha Lance Bottoms (D) | Republican hold |
| Nevada |
Joe Lombardo
REP 55%
|
Aaron Ford (D) | Republican hold |
| Ohio |
Vivek Ramaswamy
REP 55%
|
Amy Acton (D) | Republican hold |
| Wisconsin |
David Crowley
DEM 70%
|
Tom Tiffany (R) | Democratic hold |
Key: REP = Republican; DEM = Democratic. Hold = projected victory by the party currently holding the governorship. Pickup = projected victory by the opposing party. Percentages reflect William Stickevers' estimated probability of the projected candidate winning, not projected vote share. These are pre-election forecasts, not final results.
