U.S. ELECTION PREDICTIONS TRACK RECORD
2012 Presidential Election
Electoral College
Predictions by William Stickevers
Accuracy: 88.2%
- Total Predictions: 51
- Accurate Predictions: 45
Five Thirty Eight:
51 accurate predictions, 100% accuracy
PREDICTIONS FOR THE 2012 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION
President Obama vs. Governor Romney
State-By-State Accuracy Track Record for the U.S. Presidential General Election on November 6, 2012:
| FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver | William Stickevers, Political Contest Horary AstroProbability |
| 100% correct | 88% correct |
| 51 projections | 51 projections |
51 correct  | 45 correct |
0 incorrect  | 6 incorrect |
FiveThirtyEight Projection Map
(as of November 6, 2012)
PREDICTION: Obama
Political Contest Horary AstroProbability Projection Map
(as of November 6, 2012, 11:15 AM EST)
Who will win the presidency?
Political Contest Horary AstroProbability [as of Nov. 6, 2012, 11:15 AM EST]:
PREDICTION: Romney 50%
2012 U.S. Presidential General Election Final Results
Source: 270towin.com
OBAMA – 65,446,032 (51%)
ROMNEY – 60,589,084 (49%)
Below are projections for the 2012 U.S. Presidential Election as of November 6, 2012.
*Battleground States
| FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver | Political Contest Horary AstroProbability | |
| Alabama | Romney | Romney |
| Alaska | Romney | Romney |
| Arkansas | Romney | Romney |
| California | Obama | Obama |
| Colorado* | Obama | Romney |
| Connecticut | Obama | Obama |
| Delaware | Obama | Obama |
| District of Columbia | Obama | Obama |
| Florida* | Obama | Romney |
| Georgia | Romney | Romney |
| Hawaii | Obama | Obama |
| Idaho | Romney | Romney |
| Illinois | Obama | Obama |
| Indiana | Romney | Romney |
| Iowa | Obama | Romney |
| Kansas | Romney | Romney |
| Kentucky | Romney | Romney |
| Louisiana | Romney | Romney |
| Maine | Obama | Obama |
| Maryland | Obama | Obama |
| Massachusetts | Obama | Obama |
| Michigan | Obama | Obama |
| Minnesota | Obama | Obama |
| Mississippi | Romney | Romney |
| Missouri | Romney | Romney |
| Montana | Romney | Romney |
| Nebraska | Romney | Romney |
| Nevada* | Obama | Obama |
| New Hampshire | Obama | Romney |
| New Jersey | Obama | Obama |
| New Mexico | Obama | Obama |
| New York | Obama | Obama |
| North Carolina* | Romney | Romney |
| North Dakota | Romney | Romney |
| Ohio* | Obama | Romney |
| Oklahoma | Romney | Romney |
| Oregon | Obama | Obama |
| Pennsylvania* | Obama | Obama |
| Rhode Island | Obama | Obama |
| South Carolina | Romney | Romney |
| South Dakota | Romney | Romney |
| Tennessee | Romney | Romney |
| Texas | Romney | Romney |
| Utah | Romney | Romney |
| Vermont | Obama | Obama |
| Virginia* | Obama | Romney |
| Washington | Obama | Obama |
| West Virginia | Romney | Romney |
| Wisconsin* | Obama | Romney |
| Wyoming | Romney | Romney |
These predictions were originally posted on William Stickevers’s blog: https://williamstickevers.blog/2008-democratic-primaries/