U.S. ELECTION PREDICTIONS TRACK RECORD
2010 Midterm Election
Closely Contested Races
Predictions by William Stickevers
Accuracy: 82.9%
- Total Predictions: 35
- Accurate Predictions: 29
Five Thirty Eight:
15/17 accurate predictions, 88% accuracy
PREDICTIONS FOR THE 2010 MIDTERM ELECTIONS
Closely Contested Gubernatorial, Senate, and Congressional Races
2010 U.S. Midterm Election Predictions
by William Stickevers
November 1, 2010
The following are astrologically derived predictions using polling and prediction market data. From October 1st-31st, 2010, I posted my predictive results for each race on my Facebook page and finally posted them on my website on November 1st, 2010. Each of the contest horary charts can be viewed on Facebook and will be posted on this website shortly.
Gubernatorial Race
Voters will elect governors in 37 states this November. Nineteen of those governorships are now held by Democrats, while Republicans sit in the governor’s chair in 18 of the states.
Ten states are currently viewed as Toss-Ups. The Toss-Up states are California, Florida, Colorado, Wisconsin, Maryland, Ohio, Minnesota, Connecticut, Oregon, Colorado, and Vermont. Using polling and prediction market data in conjunction with horary astrology we will forecast the 2010 gubernatorial winners for each Toss-Up state.
| FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver | William Stickevers, Political Contest Horary | FINAL RESULT | |
| California Governor – Brown (D) vs. Whitman (R) |  Brown | Brown | Brown |
| Florida Governor – Scott (R) vs. Sink (D) | Scott | Scott | Scott |
| Wisconsin Governor – Walker (R) vs. Barrett (D) | Walker | Walker | Walker |
| Maryland Governor – O’Malley (D)* vs. Ehrlich (R) | O’Malley | O’Malley | O’Malley |
| Ohio Governor – Kasich (R) vs. Strickland (D) | Kasich | Kasich | Kasich |
| Minnesota Governor – Dayton (D) vs. Emmer (R) | Dayton | Dayton | Dayton |
| Connecticut Governor – Foley (R) vs. Malloy (D) | Malloy |  Foley | Malloy |
| Oregon Governor – Dudley (R) vs. Kitzhaber (D) | Kitzhaber | Kitzhaber | Kitzhaber |
| Vermont Governor – Shumlin (D) vs. Dubie (R) | Shumlin | Shumlin | Shumlin |
Senate Race
There are seven Senate races that are Toss-Up and could also go either way on Election Day that will determine the balance of power in the U.S. Senate. The Toss-Up Senate States are California, Nevada, Illinois, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Washington, and West Virginia.
| FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver | William Stickevers, Political Contest Horary | FINAL RESULT | |
| California Senate – Boxer (D)* vs. Fiorina (R) | Boxer | Boxer | Boxer |
| Colorado Senate – Buck (R) vs. Bennet (D) | Buck | Buck | Bennet |
| Nevada Senate – Reid (D)* vs. Angle (R) | Angle | Angle | Reid |
| Illinois Senate – Kirk (R) vs. Giannoulias (D) | Kirk | Kirk | Kirk |
| Wisconsin Senate – Johnson (R) vs. Feingold (D) | Johnson | Johnson | Johnson |
| Pennsylvania Senate – Toomey (R) vs. Sestak (D) | Toomey | Toomey | Toomey |
| Washington Senate: Murray (D)* vs. Rossi (R) | Murray | Rossi | Murray |
| West Virginia Senate Special Election – Manchin (D) vs. Raese (R) | Manchin | Manchin | Manchin |
Congressional Race
There are 18 House of Representative districts that could go either way that the pundits are watching closely — races that will be employed as bellwethers on how big a night the Republicans are heading for on Election Day on November 2nd.
Again, using polling and prediction market data in conjunction with horary astrology we will forecast the 2010 House of Representative winners for each Toss-Up district.
| FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver | William Stickevers, Political Contest Horary | FINAL RESULT | |
| Alabama 2nd District – Bright (D)* vs. Roby (R) | not available | Roby | Roby |
| Arizona 5th District – Schweikert (R) vs. Mitchell (D)* | not available | Schweikert | Schweikert |
| Florida 22nd District – West (R)* vs. Klein (D) | not available | West | West |
| Hawaii 1st District – Hanabusa (D) vs. Djou (R)* | not available | Djou | Hanabusa |
| Illinois 17th District – Schilling (R) vs. Hare (D)* | not available | Schilling | Schilling |
| Indiana 9th District – Hill (D)* vs. Young (R) | not available | Young | Young |
| Iowa 2nd District – Loebsack (D)* vs. Miller-Meeks (R) | not available | Loebsack | Loebsack |
| Massachusetts 4th District – Frank (D)* vs. Bielat (R) | not available | Frank | Frank |
| Michigan 7th District – Schauer (D)* vs. Walberg (R) | not available | Schauer | Walberg |
| Minnesota 8th District – Oberstar (D)* vs. Cravaack (R) | not available | Cravaack | Cravaack |
| Missouri 4th District – Skelton (D)* vs. Hartzler (R) | not available | Hartzler | Hartzler |
| Nevada 3rd District – Heck (R) vs. Titus (D)* | not available | Heck | Heck |
| New Mexico 1st District – Heinrich (D)* vs. Barela (R) | not available | Heinrich | Heinrich |
| Ohio 18th District – Space (D)* vs. Gibbs (R) | not available | Gibbs | Gibbs |
| Oregon 5th District – Schrader (D)* vs. Bruun (R) | not available | Schrader | Schrader |
| Pennsylvania 8th District – Fitzpatrick (R) vs. Murphy (D)* | not available | Fitzpatrick | Fitzpatrick |
| South Dakota At-Large – Noem (R) vs. Herseth Sandlin (D)* | not available | Noem | Noem |
| Wisconsin 7th District – Duffy (R) vs. Lassa (D) | not available | Duffy | Duffy |
These predictions were originally posted on William Stickevers’s blog: https://williamstickevers.blog/politics-and-astrology-u-s-elections/2010-u-s-midterm-election-predictions/